The shift in paradigm is already felt.
The car industry is in deep revolution and the biggest “victim” are the diesel fueled cars, whose sale will continue to fall, until they disappear.
The paradigm shift is already felt and is enhanced by three distinct reasons. The first one has to do with the costumers concerns when it comes to the advantages of using diesel and the transparency in consumption and emissions, especially from Volkswagen’s “DieselGate” and also from suspicions that have fall on other manufacturers.
The progressive introduction of more strict rules, both through the new test cycles and the obligation to comply with progressively more strict emission limits, requires a high investment in technology, which makes the models significantly more expensive.
This increase in cost is already evident in the disappearance of diesel engines of reduced cylinder, namely the 1.2 and 1.4 TDi or the 1.4 HDi. Other models simply stopped having diesel engines, such as the Toyota C-HR, for example.
When it comes to legislation it has also an in impact in many drivers, with restriction to circulate in cities, with the threat of not allowing entry of diesel vehicles in urban centers.
“Diesel’s share has been falling steadily over the years due to the more strict emissions limits that make this technology more expensive,” explains Thomas Schlick, a specialist at Roland Berger.
The analyst also reminds the impact on the laboral world, as he affirms “the implications of the drop in search of combustion models are significant for the car industry as around 1/3 of work places are related to the engine technologies”.
Also European Transport Commissioner Elzbieta Bienkowska believes that diesel will be discontinued, although she admits that “diesel will not disappear from one day to the next.” “But I’m sure they will disappear much faster than we can imagine,” she added. The reaction to the disappearance of diesel is already felt.
Practically all manufactures are speeding up electrification programs for their ranges, with Mercedes-Benz anticipating the launch of a sub brand of electric cars, the EQ and Audi plans to launch 3 electric models by 2020.